PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: PHM)

PulteGroup, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in homebuilding and financial services businesses primarily in the United States. The company’s Homebuilding segment is involved in the acquisition and development of land primarily for residential purposes within the United States; and the construction of housing on such lands. This segment offers various home designs, including single-family detached, townhouses, condominiums, and duplexes under the Pulte Homes, Del Webb, and Centex names. As of December 31, 2012, this segment had approximately 670 active communities. Its Financial Services segment engages in mortgage banking and title operations. This segment arranges financing through the origination of mortgage loans primarily for homebuyers; sells such loans and related servicing rights; and provides title insurance policies as an agent, as well as examination and closing services to homebuyers. The company was formerly known as Pulte Homes, Inc. and changed its name to PulteGroup, Inc. in March 2010.

To review potential trading opportunities with Pulte’s stock, please take a look at the 1-year chart of PHM (PulteGroup, Inc.) below with my added notations:

1-year chart of PHM (PulteGroup, Inc.)

After rallying nicely from its June low, PHM has formed what may be a double top price pattern (blue). Double tops are reversal patterns and are as simple as they sound: Rallying up to a point (T), selling off to a support, and then rallying back up again to approximately the same top (T). As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. PHM would confirm its pattern by breaking the $18 support (red) that has been created by the double top pattern.

The Tale of the Tape: PHM should be moving lower if it confirms its double top pattern. A short trade could be made on a break of support with a stop placed above the level. However, a trader could also go long at $18 as well if they believ PHM is simply consolidating.

Would you like assistance in making your TBS trades? If so, email me at Christian@yolopub.com and let’s talk about working together one on one!

Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.

No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!

Good luck!

Christian Tharp, CMT