Lennar Corporation (NYSE: LEN)

Lennar Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in homebuilding, financial services, and real estate businesses in the United States. The company operates in Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding West, Homebuilding Southeast Florida, Homebuilding Houston, Financial Services, and Rialto Investments segments. Its homebuilding activities primarily include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, as well as the purchase, development, and sale of residential land. The company also offers financial services, including mortgage financing, title insurance, and closing services for buyers and others. In addition, it is involved in sourcing, underwriting, pricing, managing, and monetizing real estate and real estate related assets, as well as provision of real estate capital and asset management services.

Please take a look at the 1-year chart of LEN (Lennar Corporation) below with my added notations:

1-year chart of LEN (Lennar Corporation)

After sliding lower from May through August, LEN finally found its footing. Since then the stock has hit a key resistance level at around $38 (blue) multiple times. Two weeks ago LEN finally broke out above that important $38 level and is now pulling back to it. The stock should be moving overall higher from here, assuming it holds above $38.

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The Tale of the Tape: LEN had a key level of resistance at $38 that should now act as support on any pullbacks. A long trade could be entered on a pullback to $38 with a stop placed below that level. A break back below $38 could negate the forecast for a move higher.

Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.

No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!

Good luck!

Christian Tharp, CMT

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