Arrowhead Research Corporation, a biopharmaceutical company, develops targeted RNAi therapeutics in the United States. The company’s product candidate comprise ARC-520, an RNAi-based therapeutic that has completed a Phase 1 clinical trial for the treatment of chronic hepatitis B virus infection; and Adipotide, which is in Phase I clinical trial for the treatment for obesity and related metabolic disorders. Its platform technologies include Dynamic Polyconjugate platform, a RNA delivery system that addresses multiple organ systems and cell types, promotes multi-log gene knockdown, and induces endosomal escape; and Homing Peptides platform, a library of short peptides.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Arrowhead (Nasdaq: ARWR) below with the added notations:
ARWR had an awful March and April just like most biotech stocks. Since the May low, the stock appears to have formed a double bottom (green) price pattern. The pattern is as simple as it sounds: Bottoming, rallying up to a point, selling back off to a similar bottom, and then rallying back up again.
As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. ARWR would confirm the pattern by breaking up through the $15.50 resistance (blue) that has been created by the double bottom pattern.
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The Tale of the Tape: After trending lower into May, ARWR has formed a double bottom price pattern. A long trade could be entered on a break above the $15.50 resistance with a stop placed under that level.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach