Cepheid, a molecular diagnostics company, develops, manufactures, and markets integrated systems for testing in the clinical market and non-clinical markets. Its systems enable molecular testing for organisms and genetic-based diseases by automating manual laboratory procedures. The company primarily offers GeneXpert system that integrates sample preparation in addition to DNA amplification and detection. The GeneXpert system is designed for reference laboratories, hospital central laboratories, and satellite testing locations, such as emergency departments and intensive care units within hospitals, as well as physician offices and other alternate site laboratories.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Cepheid (Nasdaq: CPHD) below with the added notations:
CPHD has had a rough go of it over the past 5 to 6 months. However, since the low in October, the stock appears to have formed a double bottom (green) price pattern. The pattern is as simple as it sounds: Bottoming, rallying up to a point, selling back off to a similar bottom, and then rallying back up again.
As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. CPHD would confirm the pattern by breaking up through the $38 resistance (red) that has been created by the double bottom pattern.
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The Tale of the Tape: CPHD may be forming a double bottom price pattern. A long trade could be entered on a break above the $38 resistance with a stop placed under that level. Traders that are bearish on the stock could short the stock at $38.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you havenï¿½t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and youï¿½ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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