Dynegy Inc. produces and sells electric energy, capacity, and ancillary services in the United States. It operates in three segments, Coal, IPH, and Gas. The company sells its services on a wholesale basis from its power generation facilities. It has a fleet of 15 power plants in 5 states totaling approximately 13,000 megawatts of generating capacity. The company serves a range of customers, including regional transmission organizations, independent system operators, integrated utilities, municipalities, electric cooperatives, transmission and distribution utilities, and power marketers; financial participants, such as banks and hedge funds; and residential, commercial, and industrial end-users.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Dynegy (NYSE: DYN) below with my added notations:
DYN has formed a clear support level at $10 (green) over the past 2 months. In addition, the stock is declining against a short-term, down trending resistance level (red). These two levels combined have DYN stuck within a common chart pattern known as a descending triangle. Eventually, the stock will have to break one of those two levels.
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The Tale of the Tape: DYN is within a triangle formation. A short trade could be made on a break of support or on a test of resistance. A long trade could be made at support or on a break through the triangle resistance.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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