Concho Resources Inc., an independent oil and natural gas company, engages in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties in the Unites States. The company’s principal operating areas are located in the Permian Basin of southeast New Mexico and West Texas. As of December 31, 2015, its total estimated proved reserves were 623.5 million barrel of oil equivalent.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Concho (NYSE: CXO) below with the added notations:
Notice the rising wedge I have outlined on the chart of CXO. A rising wedge price pattern is essentially a type of triangle formation in which the stock (CXO) has formed an up trending resistance line (red) and an up-trending support level (green). These two trend lines converging on one another combine to form a rising wedge, which is usually a terminal pattern. Confirmation of this pattern would occur if the stock breaks the up-trending support, a support which currently appears to be at around $97.
Join our new Linkedin Group by clicking the link below:
The Tale of the Tape: CXO has created a rising wedge pattern, which should lead to a break lower. A short trade could be entered on a break out of the bottom of the wedge, which currently sits near $97. If a trader believes the stock has higher prices in it’s future, a long play could be made at that support with a stop placed below that level.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach