Colony Capital, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The firm invests in the real estate markets of North America and Europe. Its investment portfolio is primarily composed of real estate equity; real estate and real estate-related debt; and investment management of company-sponsored private equity funds and vehicles. The firm invests in wide spectrum of commercial real estate property types, including but not limited to, office, industrial, retail, hospitality, education, single-family and multifamily residential assets, and geographies, primarily within North America and Europe.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Colony (NYSE: CLNY) below with my added notations:
CLNY’s trend has simply been a down one for the entire past 12 months. However, over the past few months the stock has created a key level of resistance at $170 (green). A break above that $17 level should mean higher prices for the stock, and about a week ago CLNY finally broke that resistance.
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The Tale of the Tape: CLNY broke through its key level of resistance at $17. A long trade could be entered on a pull back down to that level. However, a break back below $17 could negate the forecast for a higher move and would be an opportunity to get short the stock.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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