Exelon Corporation, a utility services holding company, engages in the energy generation and delivery businesses in the United States and Canada. It owns electric generating facilities, such as nuclear, fossil, and hydroelectric generation facilities, as well as wind and solar facilities. The company also sells renewable energy and other energy-related products and services; and engages in natural gas and oil exploration and production activities, as well as sells electricity and natural gas to wholesale and retail customers.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Exelon (NYSE: EXC) below with my added notations:
Over the past 6 months, EXC has created a key level of support at $33 (green), which is also the “neckline” for the stock’s head and shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Above the neckline you will notice the H&S pattern itself (red). Confirmation of the H&S would occur if EXC were to break the support, and lower prices would be expected from there.
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The Tale of the Tape:: EXC has formed a head & shoulders pattern. A long trade could be made at $33 with a stop placed below that level, but ideally, the pattern implies a short trade to be entered on a break below that level instead.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach