Frontline Ltd., a shipping company, engages in the seaborne transportation of crude oil and oil products worldwide. As of December 31, 2015, the company operated a fleet of 88 vessels, including VLCC, Suezmax, LR2, and MR tankers. It is also involved in the charter, purchase, and sale of vessels. The company is based in Hamilton, Bermuda.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Frontline (NYSE: FRO) below with added notations:
Over the past two months, FRO has moved into a sideways trading range. While in the range, the stock has formed a common pattern known as a rectangle. A minimum of (2) successful tests of the support and (2) successful tests of the resistance will give you the pattern.
The FRO rectangle pattern has formed a resistance an $8 (red), and a $7 support (green), which dates all the way back to February. At some point the stock will have to break one of the two levels.
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The Tale of the Tape: FRO is trading within a rectangle pattern. The possible long positions on the stock would be either on a pullback to $7 or on a breakout above $8. The ideal short opportunity would be on a break below $7.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach