Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as a transportation services company. The company operates through three segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, and Other. It operates retail automotive and commercial vehicle dealerships principally in the United States and Western Europe; and distributes commercial vehicles, diesel engines, gas engines, power systems, and related parts and services primarily in Australia and New Zealand.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Penske (NYSE: PAG) below with my added notations:
Over the past 3 months, PAG has formed an inverse head and shoulders reversal pattern (green). I have noted the head (H) and the shoulders (s) to make the pattern more visible. The stock’s neckline resistance is at the $50 level (red). PAG will confirm its H&S if it breaks through the neckline.
Keep in mind that simple is usually better. Had the inverse H&S pattern never been pointed out, one would still think PAG was moving higher simply if it broke through the $50 resistance level.
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The Tale of the Tape: PAG has formed an inverse head & shoulders pattern. A long trade could be entered on a break through the $50 level.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
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