United Continental Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides air transportation services in North America, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Latin America. The company transports people and cargo through its mainline and regional operations. As of December 31, 2015, it operated 1,236 aircraft. United Continental Holdings, Inc. also sells fuel; and offers catering, ground handling, and maintenance services for third parties.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of United (NYSE: UAL) with the added notations:
UAL may have formed a bearish chart pattern known as a double top. Double tops are reversal patterns and are as simple as they sound: Rallying up to a point (T), selling off to a support, and then rallying back up again to approximately the same top (T).
UAL appears to have formed the double top price pattern (red) over the last 2 months. As with any price pattern, a confirmation of the pattern is needed. UAL would confirm its pattern by breaking the $70 support (green) that was created by the double top pattern.
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The Tale of the Tape: UAL has formed a potential double top. A short trade could be made on a break of the $70 level. Since there is no guarantee of a breakdown, a long trade could be made at $70 if a trader is willing to disregard the pattern.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT
Follow me on Twitter: @cmtstockcoach