Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products. It operates through six segments, Bauxite, Alumina, Aluminum, Cast Products, Energy, and Rolled Products. The company also offers aluminum cast products; and aluminum sheets for the production of cans for beverage, food, and pet food. In addition, it engages in the generation and sale of renewable energy, as well as provision of ancillary services.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Alcoa (NYSE: AA) below with added notations:
From the beginning of 2017 til mid-August, AA had created a key resistance level at $40 (green), which was also the stock’s 52-week high resistance barrier. The stock finally broke above that level, and moved higher, as expected. Now that AA is pulling back, traders could look to enter a position at a more desirable price.
The Tale of the Tape: AA is declining towards its key level of $40. The possible long position on the stock would be on a pullback down to that level with a stop placed under it. A break back below $40 could negate the forecast for a move higher.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT