Splunk Inc. provides software solutions that enable organizations to gain real-time operational intelligence in the United States and internationally. Its products enable users to collect, index, search, explore, monitor, correlate, and analyze data regardless of format or source.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Splunk (NASDAQ: SPLK) below with my added notations:
Over the past 5 months SPLK has created a key level of support at $95 (green). That line is also the “neckline” for the stock’s head and shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern. Above the neckline you will notice the H&S pattern itself (red).
Confirmation of the H&S would occur if SPLK were to break the support, and lower prices would be expected from there.
The Tale of the Tape: SPLK has formed a head & shoulders pattern. A long trade could be made at $95 with a stop placed below that level, but ideally, the pattern implies a short trade to be entered on a break below that level instead.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT