Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. operates as real estate investment trust, which engages in the provision of loan origination and servicing for multifamily, seniors housing, healthcare, and diverse commercial real estate assets. It operates through the Structured Business and Agency Business segments.
Take a look at the 1-year chart of Arbor (NYSE: ABR) below with my added notations:
ABR has formed key support at $14 (green) over the month. The stock is also declining against a potential down trending resistance line (red). These two levels combined have ABR stuck within a common chart pattern known as a descending triangle. Eventually, the stock will have to break one of those two levels.
The Tale of the Tape: ABR has formed a triangle pattern. A short trade could be made on a break of support or on a test of resistance. A long trade could be made at support or on a break through the triangle resistance.
Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.
No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade. Capital preservation is always key!
Christian Tharp, CMT