Elastic NV (ESTC) Could Be Setting Up for a Breakdown

Elastic NV engages in the provision of open-source search and analytics engine services. It offers Elastic Stack, a set of software products that ingest and store data from various sources and formats, as well as perform search, analysis, and visualization.

Take a look at the 1-year chart of Elastic (NYSE: ESTC) below with the added notations…

Over the past year, ESTC has formed an important level to watch at the $100 (blue) mark, as that level has provided both support and resistance. ESTC is currently sitting just above that level now, and a further decline could bring another test of the $100 support.

A trader could enter a long position on a decline to that level with a stop placed below it. However, if traders are bearish on the stock, a short trade could be made on a break below the $100 mark.

Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.

No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade.  Capital preservation is always key!

Good luck!

Christian Tharp, CMT