Obsidian Energy (OBE) Rallies Within A Channel

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is an exploration and production company. The firm engages in exploring, developing, and holds interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests.

Take a look at the 1-year chart of Obsidian (NYSE: OBE) below with my added notations…

Chart of OBE provided by TradingView

OBE has formed a rising channel pattern over the past few months. A channel is formed through the combination of a trend line support that runs parallel to a trend line resistance.  When it comes to channels, any (3) points can start the pattern, but a 4th test or more help to confirm it. 

The Tale of the Tape: OBE has formed a channel. A long trade could be entered on a pullback to the channel support, which is currently sitting just under $8. Short trades could be entered at channel resistance or if the stock were to break below the channel support.

Before making any trading decision, decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the highest probability of success. Do you prefer the short side of the market, long side, or do you want to be in the market at all? If you haven’t thought about it, review the overall indices themselves. For example, take a look at the S&P 500. Is it trending higher or lower? Has it recently broken through a key resistance or support level? Making these decisions ahead of time will help you decide which side of the trade you believe gives you the best opportunities.

No matter what your strategy or when you decide to enter, always remember to use protective stops and you’ll be around for the next trade.  Capital preservation is always key!

Good luck!

Christian Tharp, CMT 

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